Open
Richest Person in the World on December 31, 2026
december_richest_person_31 resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 10
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 0.704 | — | $450.9k | $22.5k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.296 | — | $450.9k | $22.5k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- bernard-arnault Bernard Arnault
- jeff-bezos Jeff Bezos
- steve-ballmer Steve Ballmer
- jensen-huang Jensen Huang
- larry-page Larry Page
- elon-musk Elon Musk
- mark-zuckerberg Mark Zuckerberg
- warren-buffett Warren Buffett
- sergey-brin Sergey Brin
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?
proposal #15391: chain from discovery proposal #13919: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 676944
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $307.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
proposal #15394: chain from discovery proposal #13919: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 676937
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $143.0k
- Status
- Active