ECB Decision cut 25bps — 2026-06 (YES)
bridge_ecb_decision_202606__25_yes resolves 2026-06-30
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 2 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
Storm consensus 0.0¢ (equal weights — calibration data sparse) ↓ weights
- ForecastEx 50% · price 0¢ · brier 0.250 (fallback)
- Polymarket 50% · price 0¢ · brier 0.250 (fallback)
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 1.000 | — | $122.2k | $44.0k | polymarket | |
|
ForecastEx
us
|
yes yes | 0.0000 | — | —1 | —1 | forecastex | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
↳ Yes | 0.0005 | — | $122.2k | $44.0k | polymarket |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
ECB Decision — EUDEC_061126_E-25 (YES)
threshold-bridge: ecb_decision exact -25 @ 2026-06 (yes)
- External ID
- EUDEC_061126_E-25_YES
- Matched
- 15d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June 2026 meeting?
threshold-bridge: ecb_decision exact -25 @ 2026-06 (yes)
- External ID
- 1654347
- Matched
- 15d ago
- Volume
- $122.2k
- Status
- Active