US Consumer Price Index (YoY) above 4.1% — 2026-05 (YES)
bridge_cpi_yearly_202605_4_1_yes resolves 2026-05-31
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 2
- Linked markets
- 2 · 2 venues
§ Cross-venue price panel
Storm consensus 90.3¢ (equal weights — calibration data sparse) ↓ weights
- Kalshi 50% · price 91¢ · brier 0.250 (fallback)
- ForecastEx 50% · price 90¢ · brier 0.250 (fallback)
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.095 | — | $53.1k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
ForecastEx
us
|
yes yes | 0.900 | — | —1 | $815 | forecastex | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
↳ yes | 0.905 | — | $53.1k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
Wikipedia: Consumer price index ↗
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here. Until then, see the Wikipedia reference above.
§ Canonical outcomes
- yes yes
- no no
§ Linked markets
US Consumer Price Index Yearly — CPIY_0526_4.1 (YES)
threshold-bridge: cpi_yearly above 4.1 @ 2026-05 (yes)
- External ID
- CPIY_0526_4.1_YES
- Matched
- 16d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in May 2026?
threshold-bridge: cpi_yearly above 4.1 @ 2026-05 (yes)
- External ID
- KXCPIYOY-26MAY-T4.1
- Matched
- 16d ago
- Volume
- $53.1k
- Status
- Active