Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №460 · Last revised 2026-05-29
Open

Next Head Coach of the Orlando Magic

basketball_orlando_coach_next_head resolves 2026-10-27

Category
—
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
4
Linked markets
20 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.881 — $472.0k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.119 — $472.0k —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

  1. kalshi
    Sum of YES = $1.185 across 20 candidates — excess 19¢
    1850 bps

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • who Who
  • head-coach Head Coach
  • orlando-pro-basketball-team Orlando Pro Basketball Team
  • other Other / No candidate named