Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №496 · Last revised 2026-05-30
Open

Entertainment

79th Tony Awards Winners

awards_best_79th_tony resolves 2026-12-31

Category
Entertainment
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
137
Linked markets
5 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.748 — $86.9k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.252 — $86.9k —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

  1. kalshi
    Sum of YES = $1.845 across 5 candidates — excess 85¢
    8450 bps

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • christopher-gattelli Christopher Gattelli
  • direction Direction
  • musical Musical
  • tony Tony
  • emilio-sosa Emilio Sosa
  • costume-design Costume Design
  • play Play
  • justin-ellington Justin Ellington
  • sound-design Sound Design
  • tie Tie
  • hildegard-bechtler Hildegard Bechtler
  • scenic-design Scenic Design
  • soutra-gilmour Soutra Gilmour
  • rachel-hauck Rachel Hauck
  • dane-laffrey Dane Laffrey
  • adam-fisher Adam Fisher
  • walter-trarbach Walter Trarbach
  • brian-ronan Brian Ronan
  • becky-shaw Becky Shaw
  • revival Revival
  • arthur-millers-death Arthur Miller's Death
  • salesman Salesman
  • fallen-angels Fallen Angels
  • oedipus Oedipus
  • cats Cats
  • jellicle-ball Jellicle Ball
  • ragtime Ragtime
  • carrie-coon Carrie Coon
  • performance Performance
  • leading-role Leading Role
  • susannah-flood Susannah Flood
  • lesley-manville Lesley Manville
  • harrison Harrison
  • mark-strong Mark Strong
  • hannah-cruz Hannah Cruz
  • featured-role Featured Role
  • rachel-dratch Rachel Dratch
  • nichelle-lewis Nichelle Lewis
  • andre-de-shields André De Shields
  • ben-levi-ross Ben Levi Ross
  • layton-williams Layton Williams
  • balusters Balusters
  • giant Giant
  • original-score-music Original Score Music
  • lyrics-written Lyrics Written
  • theatre Theatre
  • wilsons-joe-turners-come Wilson's Joe Turner's Come
  • gone Gone
  • schmigadoon Schmigadoon
  • two-strangers-carry Two Strangers Carry
  • cake-across-new-york Cake Across New York
  • doug-besterman Doug Besterman
  • mike-morris Mike Morris
  • orchestrations Orchestrations
  • lux-pyramid Lux Pyramid
  • brian-usifer Brian Usifer
  • isabella-byrd Isabella Byrd
  • lighting-design Lighting Design
  • natasha-chivers Natasha Chivers
  • stacey-derosier Stacey Derosier
  • heather-gilbert Heather Gilbert
  • robert-icke Robert Icke
  • whitney-white Whitney White
  • michael-arden Michael Arden
  • lear Lear
  • zhailon-levingston Zhailon Levingston
  • bill-rauch Bill Rauch
  • brenda-abbandandolo Brenda Abbandandolo
  • jeff-mahshie Jeff Mahshie
  • qween-jean Qween Jean
  • choreography Choreography
  • omari-wiles Omari Wiles
  • arturo-lyons Arturo Lyons
  • ellenore-scott Ellenore Scott
  • ani-taj Ani Taj
  • betsy-aidem Betsy Aidem
  • aya-cash Aya Cash
  • laurie-metcalf Laurie Metcalf
  • sara-chase Sara Chase
  • stephanie-hsu Stephanie Hsu
  • marla-mindelle Marla Mindelle
  • christiani-pitts Christiani Pitts
  • christopher-abbott Christopher Abbott
  • alden-ehrenreich Alden Ehrenreich
  • ruben-santiago-hudson Ruben Santiago-Hudson
  • richard-thomas Richard Thomas
  • nicholas-christopher Nicholas Christopher
  • luke-evans Luke Evans
  • joshua-henry Joshua Henry
  • sam-tutty Sam Tutty
  • brandon-uranowitz Brandon Uranowitz
  • takeshi-kata Takeshi Kata
  • every-brilliant-thing Every Brilliant Thing
  • john-lithgow John Lithgow
  • ali-louis-bourzgui Ali Louis Bourzgui
  • titanique Titaníque
  • jack-knowles Jack Knowles
  • nicholas-hytner Nicholas Hytner
  • david David
  • reynoso Reynoso
  • book Book
  • caissie-levy Caissie Levy
  • danny-burstein Danny Burstein
  • brandon Brandon
  • dirden Dirden
  • scott-pask Scott Pask
  • kai-harada Kai Harada
  • rose-byrne Rose Byrne
  • shoshana-bean Shoshana Bean
  • ana-gasteyer Ana Gasteyer
  • bryce-pinkham Bryce Pinkham
  • liberation Liberation
  • kenny-leon Kenny Leon
  • joe-mantello Joe Mantello
  • tim-jackson Tim Jackson
  • paul-tazewell Paul Tazewell
  • linda-cho Linda Cho
  • lauren-yalango-grant Lauren Yalango-Grant
  • christopher-cree-grant Christopher Cree Grant
  • lost-boys Lost Boys
  • marylouise-burke Marylouise Burke
  • lee-kinney Lee Kinney
  • josh-schmidt Josh Schmidt
  • mikaal-sulaiman Mikaal Sulaiman
  • david-korins David Korins
  • ryan-park Ryan Park
  • david-rockwell David Rockwell
  • little-bear-ridge-road Little Bear Ridge Road
  • tom-gibbons Tom Gibbons
  • chloe-lamford Chloe Lamford
  • kelli-ohara Kelli O'Hara
  • nathan-lane Nathan Lane
  • daniel-radcliffe Daniel Radcliffe
  • ethan-popp-kyler-england Ethan Popp Kyler England
  • adrianne-ag-gonzalez Adrianne AG Gonzalez
  • gabriel-mann Gabriel Mann
  • other Other / No candidate named