Event №473 · Last revised 2026-05-29
Open

Next Leader of the Chinese Communist Party (before 2045)

2045_communist_chinese_become_leader resolves 2045-01-01

Category
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
16
Linked markets
13 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.860 $35.9k 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.140 $35.9k 1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • ding-xuexiang Ding Xuexiang
  • chinese-communist-party-ccp Chinese Communist Party CCP
  • jan Jan
  • li-qiang Li Qiang
  • cai-qi Cai Qi
  • yin-li Yin Li
  • li-ganjie Li Ganjie
  • zhao-leji Zhao Leji
  • he-lifeng He Lifeng
  • ma-xingrui Ma Xingrui
  • chen-miner Chen Min'er
  • zhang-guoqing Zhang Guoqing
  • yin-yong Yin Yong
  • chen-jining Chen Jining
  • li-xi Li Xi
  • other Other / No candidate named