Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №196 · Last revised 2026-05-17
Open

US Elections

2029 Presidential Receive Pardon Jan 21

2029_presidential_receive_pardon_jan resolves 2029-01-21

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
61
Linked markets
13 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
Kisean Anderson yes 0.235 — $1.8k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Kisean Anderson no 0.765 — $1.8k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Steve Bannon yes 0.380 — $7.1k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Steve Bannon no 0.620 — $7.1k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Joe Giudice yes 0.200 — $347 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Joe Giudice no 0.800 — $347 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Elizabeth Holmes yes 0.395 — $612 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Elizabeth Holmes no 0.605 — $612 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Bill Hwang yes 0.395 — $167 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Bill Hwang no 0.605 — $167 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Tim Leissner yes 0.325 — $6.7k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Tim Leissner no 0.675 — $6.7k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Jho Low yes 0.245 — $49 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Jho Low no 0.755 — $49 —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Elon Musk yes 0.400 — $3.0k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Elon Musk no 0.600 — $3.0k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
no no 0.840 — $17.3k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Martin Shkreli yes 0.265 — $2.4k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Martin Shkreli no 0.735 — $2.4k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.160 — $17.3k —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • robin-smith Robin Smith
  • jan Jan
  • larry-householder Larry Householder
  • matt-borges Matt Borges
  • joseph-maldonado Joseph Maldonado
  • torence-hatch Torence Hatch
  • ghislaine-maxwell Ghislaine Maxwell
  • sean-combs Sean Combs
  • sam-bankman-fried Sam Bankman-Fried
  • hunter-biden Hunter Biden
  • julian-assange Julian Assange
  • eric-adams Eric Adams
  • edward-snowden Edward Snowden
  • derek-chauvin Derek Chauvin
  • tou-thao Tou Thao
  • leon-stanton Leon Stanton
  • jose-muyet Jose Muyet
  • daniel-hale Daniel Hale
  • donald-trump Donald Trump
  • justin-sun Justin Sun
  • jeffery-williams Jeffery Williams
  • roger-ver Roger Ver
  • donald-trump-jr Donald Trump Jr
  • jared-kushner Jared Kushner
  • barron-trump Barron Trump
  • do-kwon Do Kwon
  • alex-mashinsky Alex Mashinsky
  • ty-garbin Ty Garbin
  • pete-rose Pete Rose
  • prakazrel-michel Prakazrel Michel
  • bob-menendez Bob Menendez
  • joe-giudice Joe Giudice
  • kisean-anderson Kisean Anderson
  • deandre-way DeAndre Way
  • safaree-samuels Safaree Samuels
  • sebastian-telfair Sebastian Telfair
  • steve-bannon Steve Bannon
  • brian-cole-jr Brian Cole Jr
  • keonne-rodriguez Keonne Rodriguez
  • martin-shkreli Martin Shkreli
  • bill-hwang Bill Hwang
  • elizabeth-holmes Elizabeth Holmes
  • tim-leissner Tim Leissner
  • jd-vance JD Vance
  • susie-wiles Susie Wiles
  • scott-bessent Scott Bessent
  • pam-bondi Pam Bondi
  • marco-rubio Marco Rubio
  • elon-musk Elon Musk
  • pete-hegseth Pete Hegseth
  • jho-low Jho Low
  • other Other / No candidate named
  • giudice Joe Giudice
  • anderson Kisean Anderson
  • bannon Steve Bannon
  • shkreli Martin Shkreli
  • hwang Bill Hwang
  • holmes Elizabeth Holmes
  • leissner Tim Leissner
  • musk Elon Musk
  • low Jho Low