Event №617 · Last revised 2026-06-06
Open

US Elections

2028 Presidential Democratic

2028_presidential_democratic resolves 2028-11-07

Category
US Elections
Resolution basis
Canonical outcomes
63
Linked markets
38 · 4 venues

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Limitless Exchange
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 0.091 $6.5k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Andrew Yang Yes 0.0065 $46.64M $2.49M polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Andrew Yang No 0.994 $46.64M $2.49M polymarket
Limitless Exchange
Andy Beshear Andy Beshear 0.033 $6.5k 1 limitless
Polymarket us
Beto O'Rourke Yes 0.0065 $40.68M $2.44M polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Beto O'Rourke No 0.994 $40.68M $2.44M polymarket
Kalshi us
Cory Booker yes 0.0065 $2.20M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0095 $24.54M $1.93M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Cory Booker no 0.994 $2.20M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.991 $24.54M $1.93M polymarket
Kalshi us
Elissa Slotkin yes 0.014 $2.18M 1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Elissa Slotkin no 0.986 $2.18M 1 kalshi
Limitless Exchange
Gavin Newsom Gavin Newsom 0.243 $6.5k 1 limitless
Kalshi us
Gina Raimondo yes 0.0025 $1.38M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0075 $34.52M $2.41M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Gina Raimondo no 0.998 $1.38M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.993 $34.52M $2.41M polymarket
Kalshi us
J.B Pritzker yes 0.042 $4.30M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.017 $14.48M $485.3k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT J.B Pritzker no 0.958 $4.30M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.984 $14.48M $485.3k polymarket
Kalshi us
Jared Polis yes 0.0035 $971.5k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0075 $26.09M $783.8k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Jared Polis no 0.997 $971.5k 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.993 $26.09M $783.8k polymarket
Polymarket us
Jasmine Crockett Yes 0.0065 $34.41M $2.65M polymarket
Polymarket us
NOT Jasmine Crockett No 0.994 $34.41M $2.65M polymarket
Kalshi us
Jon Ossoff yes 0.089 $4.43M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.070 $11.51M $262.8k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Jon Ossoff no 0.911 $4.43M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.930 $11.51M $262.8k polymarket
Limitless Exchange
Josh Shapiro Josh Shapiro 0.059 $6.5k 1 limitless
Limitless Exchange
Kamala Harris Kamala Harris 0.077 $6.5k 1 limitless
Kalshi us
Mark Cuban yes 0.010 $3.55M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0095 $22.04M $2.05M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Mark Cuban no 0.990 $3.55M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.991 $22.04M $2.05M polymarket
Kalshi us
Mark Kelly yes 0.034 $5.07M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.019 $15.88M $665.5k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Mark Kelly no 0.966 $5.07M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.981 $15.88M $665.5k polymarket
Kalshi us
no no 0.997 $1.49M 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
no 0.949 1 1 predictit
Limitless Exchange
Pete Buttigieg Pete Buttigieg 0.048 $6.5k 1 limitless
Kalshi us
Rahm Emanuel yes 0.056 $4.82M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.021 $13.94M $767.5k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Rahm Emanuel no 0.945 $4.82M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.979 $13.94M $767.5k polymarket
Kalshi us
Raphael Warnock yes 0.0045 $1.54M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0075 $30.22M $1.97M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Raphael Warnock no 0.996 $1.54M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.993 $30.22M $1.97M polymarket
Kalshi us
Ro Khanna yes 0.024 $4.77M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.016 $10.69M $245.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Ro Khanna no 0.977 $4.77M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.984 $10.69M $245.7k polymarket
Kalshi us
Roy Cooper yes 0.0025 $2.09M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0095 $30.61M $1.53M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Roy Cooper no 0.998 $2.09M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.991 $30.61M $1.53M polymarket
Kalshi us
Ruben Gallego yes 0.0080 $2.52M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
Yes 0.0075 $7.26M $1.06M polymarket
Kalshi us
NOT Ruben Gallego no 0.992 $2.52M 1 kalshi
Polymarket us
No 0.993 $7.26M $1.06M polymarket
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.0030 $1.49M 1 kalshi
PredictIt nz
yes 0.051 1 1 predictit

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

  • NOT Rahm Emanuel +129bps
    kalshi NO 0.945 · polymarket YES 0.021 340 bps gross · 211 bps fees · mid-based · 12m ago

§ Spread history

  1. 12m ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  2. 30m ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  3. 44m ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  4. 1h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  5. 1h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  6. 2h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  7. 2h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  8. 2h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  9. 2h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  10. 3h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  11. 3h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  12. 3h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  13. 3h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  14. 3h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  15. 4h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  16. 4h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  17. 4h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +129bps
  18. 4h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +114bps
  19. 4h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +114bps
  20. 5h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  21. 5h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  22. 5h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  23. 5h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  24. 6h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  25. 6h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  26. 6h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  27. 7h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  28. 7h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  29. 7h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  30. 7h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  31. 8h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  32. 8h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  33. 8h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  34. 8h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  35. 9h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  36. 9h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  37. 9h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  38. 9h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  39. 10h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  40. 10h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  41. 10h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  42. 10h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  43. 10h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  44. 11h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  45. 11h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  46. 11h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  47. 11h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.946 mid-based +119bps
  48. 12h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  49. 12h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  50. 12h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  51. 12h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  52. 12h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  53. 13h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  54. 13h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  55. 13h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  56. 13h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  57. 14h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  58. 14h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  59. 14h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  60. 14h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  61. 15h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  62. 15h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  63. 15h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  64. 15h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  65. 16h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  66. 16h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  67. 16h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  68. 16h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  69. 17h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  70. 17h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  71. 17h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  72. 17h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  73. 18h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  74. 18h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  75. 18h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  76. 18h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  77. 19h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  78. 19h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  79. 19h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  80. 19h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  81. 19h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  82. 20h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  83. 20h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  84. 20h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  85. 21h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  86. 21h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  87. 21h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  88. 21h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  89. 22h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  90. 22h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  91. 22h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  92. 22h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  93. 23h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  94. 23h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  95. 23h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  96. 23h ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  97. 1d ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps
  98. 1d ago Rahm Emanuel polymarket YES 0.021 · kalshi NO 0.945 mid-based +124bps

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§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • which Which
  • potus POTUS
  • gretchen-whitmer Gretchen Whitmer
  • who Who
  • elissa-slotkin Elissa Slotkin
  • kim-kardashian Kim Kardashian
  • pete-hegseth Pete Hegseth
  • james-talarico James Talarico
  • united-states United States
  • nov Nov
  • ro-khanna Ro Khanna
  • rahm-emanuel Rahm Emanuel
  • highest Highest
  • ocasio-cortez Ocasio-Cortez
  • charles-schwab Charles Schwab
  • andy-beshear Andy Beshear
  • gavin-newsom Gavin Newsom
  • pete-buttigieg Pete Buttigieg
  • josh-shapiro Josh Shapiro
  • kamala-harris Kamala Harris
  • alexandria-ocasio-cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • jamie-dimon Jamie Dimon
  • jon-ossoff Jon Ossoff
  • marco-rubio Marco Rubio
  • jd-vance JD Vance
  • j-b-pritzker J.B Pritzker
  • jasmine-crockett Jasmine Crockett
  • mitch-landrieu Mitch Landrieu
  • jared-polis Jared Polis
  • amy-klobuchar Amy Klobuchar
  • jb-pritzker JB Pritzker
  • electoral-college Electoral College
  • chris-murphy Chris Murphy
  • donald-trump-jr Donald Trump Jr
  • party Party
  • dwayne Dwayne
  • rock-johnson Rock Johnson
  • mark-kelly Mark Kelly
  • taylor-greene Taylor Greene
  • ruben-gallego Ruben Gallego
  • elon-musk Elon Musk
  • lebron-james LeBron James
  • tucker-carlson Tucker Carlson
  • u-s U.S
  • cory-booker Cory Booker
  • graham-platner Graham Platner
  • two-term Two-term
  • zohran-mamdani Zohran Mamdani
  • rand-paul Rand Paul
  • stephen-smith Stephen Smith
  • wes-moore Wes Moore
  • jon-stewart Jon Stewart
  • michelle-obama Michelle Obama
  • beto-orourke Beto O'Rourke
  • stephen Stephen
  • smith Smith
  • mark-cuban Mark Cuban
  • raphael-warnock Raphael Warnock
  • andrew-yang Andrew Yang
  • roy-cooper Roy Cooper
  • gina-raimondo Gina Raimondo
  • elizabeth-warren Elizabeth Warren
  • other Other / No candidate named