2027 Achievement Nominations Casting Oscar

2027_achievement_nominations_casting_oscar resolves 2027-12-31

Category: Entertainment
Resolution basis: —
Canonical outcomes: 1
Linked markets: 7 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
Venue	Outcome	Current	24h Δ	Volume	Liquidity	30d	Link
Kalshi us	no no	0.678	—	$6.3k	—¹		kalshi
Kalshi us	yes yes	0.322	—	$6.3k	—¹		kalshi

¹ "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

kalshi

Sum of YES = $1.195 across 4 candidates — excess 20¢

1950 bps

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.