2026 NFL Draft 1st Round Pick
2026_round_draft_pick_1st resolves 2026-07-02
- Category
- —
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 43
- Linked markets
- 42 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kalshi
us
|
no no | 0.364 | — | $13.4k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
Round yes | 0.237 | — | $4.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
NOT Round no | 0.763 | — | $4.2k | —1 | kalshi | |
|
Kalshi
us
|
yes yes | 0.636 | — | $13.4k | —1 | kalshi |
1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Probability-sum arbs
For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.
-
kalshiSum of YES = $2.440 across 5 candidates — excess 144¢14400 bps
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- kingston-flemings Kingston Flemings
- round Round
- aday-mara Aday Mara
- meleek-thomas Meleek Thomas
- luigi-suigo Luigi Suigo
- koa-peat Koa Peat
- malachi-moreno Malachi Moreno
- hannes-steinbach Hannes Steinbach
- nate-ament Nate Ament
- isaiah-evans Isaiah Evans
- jayden-quaintance Jayden Quaintance
- yaxel-lendeborg Yaxel Lendeborg
- brayden-burries Brayden Burries
- christian-anderson Christian Anderson
- henri-veesaar Henri Veesaar
- dailyn-swain Dailyn Swain
- joshua-jefferson Joshua Jefferson
- alex-karaban Alex Karaban
- tyler-tanner Tyler Tanner
- zuby-ejiofor Zuby Ejiofor
- milan-momcilovic Milan Momcilovic
- ryan-conwell Ryan Conwell
- braden-smith Braden Smith
- jaden-bradley Jaden Bradley
- richie-saunders Richie Saunders
- matt-able Matt Able
- kylan-boswell Kylan Boswell
- emanuel-sharp Emanuel Sharp
- bruce-thornton Bruce Thornton
- tamin-lipsey Tamin Lipsey
- dame-sarr Dame Sarr
- andrej-stojakovic Andrej Stojakovic
- trevon-brazile Trevon Brazile
- rueben-chinyelu Rueben Chinyelu
- ugonna-onyenso Ugonna Onyenso
- tyler-bilodeau Tyler Bilodeau
- milos-uzan Milos Uzan
- felix-okpara Felix Okpara
- aj-dybantsa AJ Dybantsa
- ebuka-okorie Ebuka Okorie
- tounde-yessoufou Tounde Yessoufou
- keaton-wagler Keaton Wagler
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will Kingston Flemings be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193155: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-KFLE
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $235
- Status
- Active
Will Isaiah Evans be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193157: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-IEVA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $51
- Status
- Active
Will Hannes Steinbach be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193164: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-HSTE
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Christian Anderson be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193165: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-CAND
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Meleek Thomas be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193169: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-MTHO
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $13
- Status
- Active
Will Joshua Jefferson be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193170: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-JJEF
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $39
- Status
- Active
Will Tyler Tanner be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193172: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TTAN
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $31
- Status
- Active
Will Zuby Ejiofor be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193173: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-ZEJI
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $695
- Status
- Active
Will Malachi Moreno be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193183: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-MMOR
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Status
- Active
Will Bruce Thornton be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193185: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BTHO
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Tamin Lipsey be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193186: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TLIP
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Rueben Chinyelu be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193189: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-RCHI
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $942
- Status
- Active
Will Nate Ament be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193156: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-NAME
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $109
- Status
- Active
Will Yaxel Lendeborg be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193158: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-YLEN
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $238
- Status
- Active
Will Koa Peat be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193160: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-KPEA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Status
- Active
Will Keaton Wagler be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193161: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-KWAG
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $235
- Status
- Active
Will Brayden Burries be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193162: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BBUR
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $515
- Status
- Active
Will Aday Mara be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193163: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-AMAR
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $230
- Status
- Active
Will Henri Veesaar be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193166: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-HVEE
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $33
- Status
- Active
Will Dailyn Swain be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193167: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-DSWA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Alex Karaban be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193171: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-AKAR
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $50
- Status
- Active
Will Tounde Yessoufou be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193174: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TYES
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $35
- Status
- Active
Will Luigi Suigo be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193175: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-LSUI
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $18
- Status
- Active
Will Milan Momcilovic be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193176: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-MMOM
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $153
- Status
- Active
Will Ryan Conwell be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193177: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-RCON
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Braden Smith be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193178: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BSMI
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Jaden Bradley be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193179: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-JBRA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Richie Saunders be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193180: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-RSAU
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Matt Able be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193181: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-MABL
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Emanuel Sharp be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193184: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-ESHA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Dame Sarr be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193187: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-DSAR
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $6
- Status
- Active
Will Trevon Brazile be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193188: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TBRA
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $10
- Status
- Active
Will Ugonna Onyenso be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193190: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-UONY
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Felix Okpara be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #193194: chain from discovery proposal #167262: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-FOKP
- Matched
- 6d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Bennett Stirtz be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197335: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BSTI
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Baba Miller be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197343: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BMIL
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Status
- Active
Will Darryn Peterson be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #196003: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-DPET
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $230
- Status
- Active
Will Juke Harris be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #199066: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-JHAR
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Morez Johnson Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197336: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-MJOH
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $275
- Status
- Active
Will Sergio de Larrea be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197339: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-SLAR
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $0
- Status
- Active
Will Labaron Philon Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197333: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-LPHI
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $139
- Status
- Active
Will Billy Richmond III be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026?
proposal #197345: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=0.99 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=round
- External ID
- KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-BRIC
- Matched
- 5d ago
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Status
- Active