Eyewall Markets Market Compendium
Event №569 · Last revised 2026-06-03
Open

2026 NFL Draft 1st Round Pick

2026_round_draft_pick_1st resolves 2026-07-02

Category
—
Resolution basis
—
Canonical outcomes
43
Linked markets
42 · 1 venue

§ Cross-venue price panel

Cross-venue price panel
VenueOutcome Current24h Δ VolumeLiquidity 30dLink
Kalshi us
no no 0.364 — $13.4k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
Round yes 0.237 — $4.2k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
NOT Round no 0.763 — $4.2k —1 kalshi
Kalshi us
yes yes 0.636 — $13.4k —1 kalshi

1 "—" appears in the volume or liquidity column either because the venue's public read endpoint doesn't expose that figure, or because the value Storm observed was zero. Either way, Storm has no positive depth or activity signal to display — not a statement that the market is dead on the venue itself.

§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)

No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.

§ Spread history

No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.

§ Probability-sum arbs

For this categorical event, one or more venues' YES prices sum to more than $1.00 across all candidates — the probability axiom requires the sum to be ≈ $1.00, so the excess is a within-venue arb signal. Selling every YES leg captures the excess upfront; exactly one candidate resolves YES at $1.00, the rest at $0.

  1. kalshi
    Sum of YES = $2.440 across 5 candidates — excess 144¢
    14400 bps

§ Recent news

No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.

§ Canonical outcomes

  • kingston-flemings Kingston Flemings
  • round Round
  • aday-mara Aday Mara
  • meleek-thomas Meleek Thomas
  • luigi-suigo Luigi Suigo
  • koa-peat Koa Peat
  • malachi-moreno Malachi Moreno
  • hannes-steinbach Hannes Steinbach
  • nate-ament Nate Ament
  • isaiah-evans Isaiah Evans
  • jayden-quaintance Jayden Quaintance
  • yaxel-lendeborg Yaxel Lendeborg
  • brayden-burries Brayden Burries
  • christian-anderson Christian Anderson
  • henri-veesaar Henri Veesaar
  • dailyn-swain Dailyn Swain
  • joshua-jefferson Joshua Jefferson
  • alex-karaban Alex Karaban
  • tyler-tanner Tyler Tanner
  • zuby-ejiofor Zuby Ejiofor
  • milan-momcilovic Milan Momcilovic
  • ryan-conwell Ryan Conwell
  • braden-smith Braden Smith
  • jaden-bradley Jaden Bradley
  • richie-saunders Richie Saunders
  • matt-able Matt Able
  • kylan-boswell Kylan Boswell
  • emanuel-sharp Emanuel Sharp
  • bruce-thornton Bruce Thornton
  • tamin-lipsey Tamin Lipsey
  • dame-sarr Dame Sarr
  • andrej-stojakovic Andrej Stojakovic
  • trevon-brazile Trevon Brazile
  • rueben-chinyelu Rueben Chinyelu
  • ugonna-onyenso Ugonna Onyenso
  • tyler-bilodeau Tyler Bilodeau
  • milos-uzan Milos Uzan
  • felix-okpara Felix Okpara
  • aj-dybantsa AJ Dybantsa
  • ebuka-okorie Ebuka Okorie
  • tounde-yessoufou Tounde Yessoufou
  • keaton-wagler Keaton Wagler
  • other Other / No candidate named