Fed Policy & Rates
Next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom (2026)
2026_minister_kingdom_united_prime resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- Fed Policy & Rates
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 21
- Linked markets
- 2 · 1 venue
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
United Kingdom Yes | 0.203 | — | $564.6k | $107.2k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT United Kingdom No | 0.797 | — | $564.6k | $107.2k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- nigel-farage Nigel Farage
- united-kingdom United Kingdom
- rupert-lowe Rupert Lowe
- rachel-reeves Rachel Reeves
- andy-burnham Andy Burnham
- angela-rayner Angela Rayner
- robert-jenrick Robert Jenrick
- james-cleverly James Cleverly
- shabana-mahmood Shabana Mahmood
- lucy-powell Lucy Powell
- yvette-cooper Yvette Cooper
- ed-miliband Ed Miliband
- david-lammy David Lammy
- boris-johnson Boris Johnson
- ed-davey Ed Davey
- darren-jones Darren Jones
- kemi-badenoch Kemi Badenoch
- al-carns Al Carns
- wes-streeting Wes Streeting
- bridget-phillipson Bridget Phillipson
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
proposal #16584: title_jaccard=0.86 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=united-kingdom
- External ID
- 1343514
- Matched
- 20d ago
- Volume
- $487.6k
- Status
- Active
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
proposal #48059: title_jaccard=0.75 · date_prox=1.00 · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=united-kingdom
- External ID
- 1343473
- Matched
- 15d ago
- Volume
- $77.0k
- Status
- Active