Entertainment
2026 Best Domestic Opening Weekend Box Office
2026_domestic_opening_weekend_have resolves 2026-12-31
- Category
- Entertainment
- Resolution basis
- —
- Canonical outcomes
- 7
- Linked markets
- 5 · 1 venue
[resolution by news] The Hollywood Reporter: ‘Backrooms’ Producer On Wild $118 Million Opening Weekend Ride: “The Phone Doesn’t Stop” (https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/backrooms-producer-chris-ferguson-1236610885/)
§ Cross-venue price panel
| Venue | Outcome | Current | 24h Δ | Volume | Liquidity | 30d | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Polymarket
us
|
Avengers Doomsday Yes | 0.725 | — | $127.8k | $11.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Avengers Doomsday No | 0.275 | — | $127.8k | $11.3k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Dune Messiah Yes | 0.011 | — | $86.5k | $16.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Dune Messiah No | 0.989 | — | $86.5k | $16.0k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
No No | 0.994 | — | $62.0k | $30.8k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Odyssey Yes | 0.052 | — | $153.0k | $19.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Odyssey No | 0.948 | — | $153.0k | $19.7k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Toy Story Yes | 0.042 | — | $186.9k | $19.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
NOT Toy Story No | 0.959 | — | $186.9k | $19.6k | polymarket | |
|
Polymarket
us
|
Yes Yes | 0.0065 | — | $62.0k | $30.8k | polymarket |
§ Current spreads (last 24h, ≥ 20 bps)
No open spreads at or above the 20 bps threshold in the last 24 hours.
§ Spread history
No spread observations recorded yet. As the detector runs, each (venue_a, venue_b, outcome) observation above the dedup threshold lands here.
§ Recent news
No news has been matched to this event yet. As Storm's news matcher links incoming items from its public-source feed (USGS, NOAA, FRED, Census, BEA, the White House, State Dept, DOD, Wikinews, Wikipedia, Metaculus, etc.) to canonical events, recent updates appear here.
§ Canonical outcomes
- toy-story Toy Story
- odyssey Odyssey
- avengers-doomsday Avengers Doomsday
- dune-messiah Dune Messiah
- hunger-games-sunrise Hunger Games Sunrise
- reaping Reaping
- other Other / No candidate named
§ Linked markets
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
proposal #15474: chain from discovery proposal #13927: assigned by cluster
- External ID
- 678446
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $62.0k
- Status
- Active
Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
proposal #15471: title_jaccard=0.63 · date_prox=1.00 · category=entertainment · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=odyssey
- External ID
- 678444
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $153.0k
- Status
- Active
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
proposal #15470: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=1.00 · category=entertainment · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=toy-story
- External ID
- 678443
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $186.9k
- Status
- Active
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
proposal #15472: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=1.00 · category=entertainment · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=avengers-doomsday
- External ID
- 678447
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $127.8k
- Status
- Active
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
proposal #15473: title_jaccard=0.56 · date_prox=1.00 · category=entertainment · year_overlap · canonical_outcome=dune-messiah
- External ID
- 678448
- Matched
- 22d ago
- Volume
- $86.5k
- Status
- Active